Roger Cook the Gambler Illustration: Don Lindsay
The political landscape in Western Australia is poised for unpredictability as the new year unfolds. Following a tumultuous election year in 2025, Premier Roger Cook and Deputy Premier Rita Saffioti face significant challenges that could shape their government’s future. As history suggests, the year following elections often becomes a “grunt year” for political leaders, characterized by fewer ceremonial events and more pressing issues demanding resolution.
One of the most contentious projects under Cook’s administration is the proposed street circuit and amphitheatre in Burswood, an investment of $217.5 million. Although the project has been referred to Infrastructure WA for assessment since November, the government is eager to commence construction. Inside the cabinet, there are voices advocating for its cancellation due to concerns about potential budget overruns and public discontent. Nevertheless, Cook and Saffioti are determined that completion will foster public appreciation for the initiative.
As the government grapples with these pressing matters, it is also under scrutiny for its handling of public health. The state has recently experienced record levels of ambulance ramping, prompting criticisms regarding the effectiveness of its winter surge plan. In a parliamentary session in November, Health Minister Meredith Hammat defended the government’s healthcare investments, highlighting the addition of over 900 new beds since 2021. Yet, with new hospitals not yet operational, the purchase of the St John of God Hospital in Mt Lawley, which is expected to contribute approximately 100 beds, raises the question: will that be sufficient to meet the growing demand?
Financial Challenges and the GST Debate
The financial stability of Western Australia hinges on the 2018 GST agreement, which guarantees that each state receives at least 75 cents for every dollar raised in GST. As the state Treasurer, Saffioti faces the challenge of negotiating better terms in light of the upcoming review by the Productivity Commission, which is due to report to the Federal Government by December 31, 2026. While Saffioti is prepared to advocate for WA’s interests publicly, the absence of immediate electoral pressures on the federal government complicates the negotiations. To bolster her case, Saffioti is enlisting the support of influential business leaders in the region, recognizing that while federal Labor may not require WA votes, the state’s mining revenue is still crucial.
Future Prospects: Green Steel and Economic Growth
Despite fluctuating global prices, iron ore continues to be a cornerstone of WA’s economy. Cook’s vision for the future includes a significant initiative aimed at developing locally produced green steel, which he hopes to incorporate into state infrastructure projects. The Kwinana Neo-Smelt pilot plant has been identified as a key project, with joint venture partners BlueScope, BHP, and Rio Tinto expected to make a final investment decision by mid-2026. However, uncertainty remains regarding the emissions standards necessary for the steel to be classified as “green.”
As January 1, 2025 approaches, Cook has stated his commitment to enhancing the economic framework of Western Australia to ensure that all citizens benefit from growth. The outcomes of the ongoing projects and negotiations will ultimately determine whether his administration can deliver on this promise. The stakes are high, and the coming months will reveal whether Cook’s calculated risks will pay off or lead to further challenges for his government.
