Anthony Albanese’s government is experiencing a surge in support following the recent election, with Labor’s approval rating reaching its highest point in two years. According to the latest data from the Resolve Political Monitor, conducted with a sample of 1,800 voters, Labor’s support has climbed to 37 percent, marking a two-point increase over the past month. This figure is the highest recorded since the lead-up to the Voice referendum in October 2023 and reflects a gain of 2.5 points compared to the party’s performance in the May election.
The Coalition, led by Sussan Ley, has maintained a steady primary vote of 29 percent. Support for the Greens remains unchanged at 12 percent. Notably, the increase in Labor’s primary support appears to have come at the expense of minor parties, with the One Nation party showing a slight rise to 9 percent, almost three points higher than its federal election result.
Labor’s lead over the Coalition has widened when considering a two-party preferred basis, now standing at 59-41. This marks the party’s strongest performance since April 2023 and represents a four-point increase since May. If this trend were to continue into a national election, Labor could potentially gain additional seats, including those currently held by the Coalition in electorates such as Longman in Queensland, La Trobe in Victoria, and Forrest in Western Australia.
Jim Reed, director of Resolve Strategic, commented on Labor’s position, stating that the party is “sitting pretty” with its enlarged primary and two-party preferred vote. He noted that while the Coalition has not lost further ground, it has not made any gains either. Despite this positive outlook for Labor, Reed pointed out that Albanese is experiencing challenges on a personal level, in contrast to Ley, who has been rated as the most likable Member of Parliament.
As Albanese continues to navigate his leadership, the upcoming months will be crucial for both Labor and the Coalition as they prepare for potential challenges ahead in the political landscape. The dynamics of public opinion will play a significant role in shaping the future of Australian politics.
